Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 6.304267 7.349595 8.480119 9.789465 11.259806 12.855578 14.713967
2026-02-08 4.685918 6.028626 7.595471 9.542847 11.881049 14.580474 17.913631
2026-02-15 3.671730 5.111311 6.894721 9.234165 12.186620 15.751601 20.340289
2026-02-22 3.106525 4.622592 6.596763 9.302916 12.856750 17.301375 23.208424
2026-03-01 2.664243 4.214100 6.325377 9.334708 13.426172 18.699963 25.901704
2026-03-08 2.326598 3.894567 6.120715 9.407442 14.015753 20.114789 28.641279
2026-03-15 2.031737 3.592097 5.896624 9.413399 14.486824 21.365688 31.188939
2026-03-22 1.850964 3.436451 5.861316 9.669947 15.300936 23.094597 34.425677
2026-03-29 1.682164 3.275651 5.796400 9.865954 16.023528 24.711393 37.554145
2026-04-05 1.504673 3.075881 5.647428 9.914128 16.518700 26.013558 40.276768
2026-04-12 1.285299 2.773244 5.301411 9.622533 16.476766 26.528792 41.887241
2026-04-19 1.109198 2.523518 5.015489 9.397471 16.510721 27.139131 43.636320
2026-04-26 0.949163 2.283140 4.723991 9.142915 16.486103 27.665657 45.293224
2026-05-03 0.814046 2.071302 4.460010 8.910120 16.475377 28.202808 46.974261
2026-05-10 0.690066 1.862156 4.177400 8.618351 16.343208 28.535898 48.345145
2026-05-17 0.624435 1.768712 4.101820 8.683329 16.799582 29.793795 51.153745
2026-05-24 0.562355 1.673374 4.012151 8.713378 17.193144 30.960092 53.849737
2026-05-31 0.510930 1.594773 3.947290 8.782128 17.651920 32.240963 56.755782
2026-06-07 0.459218 1.506787 3.853737 8.787760 17.996421 33.343046 59.406214
2026-06-14 0.432666 1.478737 3.883082 9.030301 18.768820 35.167537 63.250814
2026-06-21 0.403667 1.439511 3.884129 9.215651 19.443741 36.848285 66.905607
2026-06-28 0.367040 1.373019 3.818146 9.261212 19.863184 38.111148 69.913757
2026-07-05 0.313176 1.246563 3.602615 8.985471 19.672346 38.330635 71.218976